Thursday, October 28, 2010

Week 9: Tecmo Bowl and the College Football Playoffs


I’m old enough to remember when the original Nintendo made its debut, permanently etching video games into popular culture and changing the lives of 30-35 year old single men forever. The rudimentary technology made it nearly impossible to design playable sports games, and the video game landscape was dominated by the the two-dimensional, scrolling screen titles, like Super Mario Brothers or the Legend of Zelda. Everything else was pretty dumb. Then along came Tecmo Bowl.
I don’t mean Tecmo Super Bowl, which remains the greatest game ever created, and still a joy to play (if you can find a copy and a useable system). Tecmo Bowl was its predecessor - the game that took the success of the two-dimensional, scrolling screen format and tailored it to football. The graphics were awful - gummy, oversized footballers gliding around a narrow field, often fading in and out of existence. The play selection was worse - 4 offensive choices ripped directly from a local 5th grade team’s playbook. But it used actual NFL players (other games couldn’t claim that right), and it was actually fun to play. Games moved quickly, the play selection process was simple, it was quirky enough to be kind of cute and entertaining, and it had an addictive quality to it. 
But the part of Tecmo Bowl that’s relevant to modern-day college football was it’s single-player format. It was best as a two-player game, but when you picked up the tiny rectangular controller and entered one-player mode, you entered a race to be undefeated. And you couldn’t save the game, so you were forced to go as far as possible in one sitting. The way it worked was, once you selected your team, the computer randomly selected an opponent from the 13 remaining sides, you played the game, and if you won it picked another random opponent for you to take down. Keep winning, and it kept assigning opponents until there was one left, and that was your Super Bowl, or “Tecmo Bowl”. And no matter who the opponent was each week, you could count on them getting progressively more difficult. In a sense, every game was a playoff game. You lost at any point, game over. Simple format, though unlike any in real life.
Unless, of course, you count major college football. Consider the similarities: 13 games, increasing progressive difficulty and pressure, a lose-and-you’re-out mentality, one big game for the championship at the end. Critics might say that this format is great for a video game, terrible for real sports, but I say think again. Tecmo Bowl’s format was fun because of it’s building pressure. You knew that at any point it could be all over. The pressure mounted, and the quick pace of the gameplay drew you into its feverish excitement. The same is true for college football. These teams know that one loss can be overcome, but it’s terribly unlikely. Essentially, it’s lose and go home. Over the course of the season it gets incredibly intense and exciting, and that tension only mounts as the weeks roll on. You want playoffs? I say you already have them.
Now, there are certainly flaws in the current system. Too many to get into in this column in fact. Perhaps another week. But with all its flaws, the college football season does deliver more excitement than any other American sport. And there’s no denying that moving to a traditionally styled playoff system (i.e. 8 or 16 teams in a bracketed format, a la college basketball or the NFL or NBA playoffs) would markedly diminish both the meaning and the excitement of the regular season. It would perhaps even destroy college football as we know it. The tension this time of year is enthralling, and it only builds as the weeks roll on. A playoff would cause most big games into mere bumps in the road. Sure, the 7 games of a playoff would be terribly exciting, but at what cost?
This season more than any I can remember is delivering this every-week-is-a-playoff feel week in and week out. The schedule has allowed contenders to play a series of difficult games, each more meaningful than the last. This week is a great example.
Missouri beats Oklahoma (much like a lower seeded team knocking off a top seed), now, in the next round, they face a difficult road game at Nebraska. Auburn beats contenders Arkansas and LSU on consecutive weeks, now they go on the road to face a testy Mississippi team. Oregon rolls through the first few rounds with little difficulty, now they visit perennial power USC. Michigan State goes through the first 2/3 of the “bracket” on a Cinderella run, now they face their toughest matchup to date at Iowa. Feels very much like an elimination-style playoff, doesn’t it? This zany season promises to continue this trend. Let’s only hope it does.

1. Michigan at Penn State
Yes, I just opened with a long lead-in to the week’s elimination contests, but this game still gets top billing. It’s Penn State-Michigan. Good vs. Evil. A raucous white-out at sold out Beaver Stadium. In prime time. And I’ll be there. Unless, of course, something drastic or otherworldly happens. This is my once-yearly trip back to the ol’ alma mater. Michigan admittedly brings in a better team, at least offensively. The questionable status of Rob Bolden complicates things severely for an already-poor PSU attack. Defensively, the Nittany Lions probably have the advantage, but they’re pretty banged up. But no matter how great the disparity in talent is, I’m not picking Michigan to beat Penn State. Not with the White House on full display, and not while I’m in attendance. Call me a homer - in this case I’ll fully own the label. In a close game, the home crowd and an inspired defense trip up Shoelace and the despicable Wolverines.
Penn State 23, Michigan 20
2. Michigan State at Iowa
Michigan State has walked a fine line this year, balancing luck, balance, and some coaching magic into an 8-0 start and #5 BCS ranking. There’s only one problem - they’re not a top 5 team in talent, and at some point you need that to kick in if you want to win all your games. This is the week they reveal that they’re not a great team, simply an above-average, well-coached one.
Iowa 24, Michigan State 14
3. Missouri at Nebraska
Classic letdown scenario. Just like when South Carolina was ambushed by Kentucky, clearly showing their mental or physical unpreparedness after a big home win. For Mizzou, they walk into Lincoln to face an angry Nebraska team with a chip on its shoulder. The Texas loss was embarrassing, and this game is Nebraska’s season. A loss here means it’s virtually impossible to make the Big 12 title game, and the Husker season DVD officially gains the title “Red Disappointment: the 2010 Nebraska Cornhuskers.” It’s hard to imagine Nebraska not playing its best game this weekend. And I’m just not sure Missouri will be able to match up, coming off such an emotional Saturday night.
Nebraska 24, Missouri 17
4. Auburn at Mississippi
I ought to have learned my lesson by now. I’ve now picked against Auburn 3 times, only to have the Tigers and Cam Newton prove me wrong. It’s tempting to go against them again, but if they’ve won tight, tough SEC games for 3 consecutive weeks, there’s no reason to assume they won’t win a fourth. That, and Mississippi lost to Jacksonville State not long ago. Any true national title contender shouldn’t even come close to that result.
Auburn 35, Mississippi 27
5. Oregon at USC
Most “experts” tag this as a close contest. Not me. USC looks average at best, despite both their losses coming on last-second field goals. Nothing about the Trojans has shown me that they’re more than an 8-win, 5th place Pac Ten team. Oregon beats them by at least 2 touchdowns.
Oregon 44, USC 27
6. Florida State at N.C. State
N.C. State is 5-2, but they’re not in the class of Florida State, who has all the makings of a top-10 team.
Florida State 31, N.C. State 17
7. Florida at Georgia
It’s hard to believe that both these teams are unranked and staring a December bowl in the face. And even more surprising, both lost to Mississippi State. Times have changed - I’m not sure that’s ever happened before. Georgia is on a mini-roll, winning 3 straight and re-entering the SEC East race, but they appear to have too many flaws to climb all the way up the ladder. Florida’s not near what they used to be, but the talent level is still very high. Like traditional powers who fall on some hard times, they’re not as bad as the media says they are. Florida wins in the most subdued cocktail party in years.
Florida 24, Georgia 20

8. Baylor at Texas
When have we ever seen a Baylor-Texas game where the ranked team coming into it is not the Longhorns? Couple that with the fact that on the same weekend, Florida and Georgia meet as unranked teams, Penn State plays Michigan with nothing more than a spot in the doughy-soft middle of the Big Ten, and Mississippi State rests just outside the top 20, and you see how weird this season has become. In this contest, I have to imagine that Texas pulls things together to avoid yet another embarrassing home less. There’s no doubt the Longhorns are light years ahead of Baylor in overall talent.
Texas 35, Baylor 31
9. Utah at Air Force
A significant test for Utah ahead of their looming showdown with TCU. The Horned Frogs just pasted Air Force, and in the back of the minds of the Utes must be the faint thought of, “We need to show we’re at least in the same ballpark.” They are, though this game will be closer than the one the Falcons just lost. It’s in Colorado Springs, and the Air Force ground game won’t be held down that low for 2 straight weeks.
Utah 27, Air Force 20
10. Stanford at Washington
Washington has been as inconsistent as anyone. Pasted by Nebraska and Arizona, strong in beating a good Oregon State team. Who shows up this week? It might not matter - Stanford remains under the radar, a one-loss team every bit as good as many ranked ahead of them.
Stanford 38, Washington 28
11. California at Oregon State
The second leg in our Pac Ten roundtable. The middle of this conference is brutal, which is why I have much reservation about Oregon going undefeated. If they do, there’s no doubt they deserve the #1 ranking that will follow. Their home state brethren get the win at home here.
Oregon State 27, California 24
12. Arizona at UCLA
Arizona is very good. UCLA is not. Whatever home field advantage they might have (which in the cavernous Rose Bowl is very little) is moot.
Arizona 33, UCLA 20

13. Texas Tech at Texas A&M
Now we’re firmly entrenched in our “crappy middle of the road BCS conference team matchup” section of the blog. Exhilarating, I know. When in doubt, pick the home team. In this case that’s probably a good decision. The Aggies have explosive potential on offense, and they’ve got to be thankful that Mike Leach is gone from Texas Tech - under his watch the lowly Red Raiders ran roughshod over the once-proud Aggies.
Texas A&M 42, Texas Tech 35

14. Oklahoma State at Kansas State
Oklahoma State acquitted itself nicely against Nebraska, putting up a good fight and showing that being undefeated well into October was no fluke. But they’ve shown much more vulnerability on the road, and K-State is no slouch.
Kansas State 34, Oklahoma State 28

15. Louisville at Pittsburgh
The obligatory Big East selection of the week. Louisville has been surprisingly frisky, but Pitt is establishing itself as the conference’s team to beat. They also get a homecoming boost. The Panthers biggest worry may be that in order to actually qualify for a BCS bowl they’ll have to go undefeated in conference. It’s unfathomable to think a four-loss Big East team makes the final BCS top 25, let alone the top-14 (required for automatic qualification). Heck, that may already be impossible.
Pittsburgh 31, Louisville 21

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